Review of the EB-5 Immigrant Investor Program Impact Report (2016–2019)

The EB-5 Immigrant Investor Program Impact Report (2016–2019) presents one of the most comprehensive examinations of the EB-5 Program’s economic contributions to the United States. Developed by Fourth Economy and commissioned by Invest in the USA (IIUSA), the report quantifies the effects of foreign direct investment under the EB-5 program on U.S. job creation, wages, tax revenues, and overall GDP. It covers the four-year period from 2016 to 2019, using detailed federal data, regional center reports, and economic modeling.

The EB-5 program, created by Congress in 1990, provides a pathway to lawful permanent residence for qualified foreign investors who invest in U.S. enterprises that create or preserve at least ten full-time jobs for American workers. The Regional Center program, established in 1992, further enabled pooled investments and expanded the program’s geographic and sectoral reach.

The report’s overarching goal is to document how EB-5 investments have contributed to national and local economic growth, and to evaluate how structural constraints—such as visa caps, processing delays, and periodic lapses in reauthorization—limit its potential.

Important Highlights

From 2016 through 2019, the EB-5 program generated enormous economic activity across the United States:

  • Direct EB-5 investment: approximately $17.46 billion
  • Total project investment: around $75.24 billion, combining EB-5 and private capital
  • Jobs supported: about 1.65 million, including direct, indirect, and induced positions
  • Total wages paid to U.S. workers: $122.31 billion
  • Contribution to U.S. GDP: $184.22 billion
  • Tax revenue generated: nearly $14.47 billion (federal, state, and local combined)

These results demonstrate that the EB-5 program is a significant economic driver that operates entirely without taxpayer expense. All capital is sourced from foreign investors, and government administrative costs are covered by program fees.

Beyond historical data, the report also models potential outcomes under optimized conditions — showing that removing structural constraints could multiply investment flows and economic benefits.

Program Context and Evolution

The background section of the report traces how the EB-5 program has evolved through legislation and regulation. Investors must invest in a new commercial enterprise that creates at least ten full-time U.S. jobs, either directly or indirectly. Under the Regional Center program, projects can count indirect and induced employment through economic-impact modeling.

Regional centers are federally designated entities that aggregate investor capital and direct it into development projects, typically within specific geographic areas. By 2023, approved regional centers operated in all fifty U.S. states and territories, evidencing the program’s national reach.

The report notes several key regulatory changes over time:

  • Prior to November 2019, the minimum investment threshold was $1 million for non-Targeted Employment Areas (TEAs) and $500,000 for TEAs.
  • The 2019 Modernization Rule raised these to $1.8 million and $900,000 respectively.
  • A 2021 court decision vacated these increases, temporarily restoring the earlier levels.
  • The EB-5 Reform and Integrity Act of 2022 established new thresholds of $1.05 million (non-TEA) and $800,000 (TEA), with automatic adjustments tied to inflation every five years.

These shifts have influenced investor demand and the flow of capital into U.S. projects. The report underscores that regulatory uncertainty and fluctuating thresholds often create friction that slows investment.

Data Sources and Methodology

The authors obtained and analyzed data from multiple sources, including:

  • USCIS Form I-526 petition data (investor filings and approvals)
  • USCIS Form I-924A annual regional center reports (project and investment details)
  • Additional data directly submitted by regional centers to IIUSA
  • Economic modeling using Lightcast (formerly Emsi) input-output models

The report’s dataset comprised 50 PDF files totaling over 26,000 pages of I-924A filings. Many forms included redactions or inconsistent formatting, requiring estimation and cross-referencing with industry input. About 68 percent of the total EB-5 investment recorded ($11.9 billion) came directly from regional center-verified data, with the remainder estimated from FOIA and USCIS sources.

Each investment was assigned to one of 24 six-digit NAICS industry categories, enabling the analysts to model sector-specific job and GDP impacts. Economic impacts were divided into initial (direct), indirect (supply chain), and induced (consumer spending) effects.

While the report acknowledges some data limitations, its methodology is transparent, rigorous, and consistent with accepted economic-impact modeling standards.

EB-5 Investment Distribution

Between 2016 and 2019, EB-5 investment reached $17.46 billion, supporting total project investments of $75.24 billion. This indicates that EB-5 capital leveraged approximately $4.3 in total project spending per dollar invested. The industry distribution of these investments is as follows (EB-5 share vs. total project investment):

  • Construction – $10.5 billion EB-5; $52.6 billion total
  • Accommodation & Food Services – $3.7 billion EB-5; $13.3 billion total
  • Transportation & Warehousing – $1.6 billion EB-5; $4.4 billion total
  • Retail Trade – $0.5 billion EB-5; $1.4 billion total
  • Health Care & Social Assistance – $0.3 billion EB-5; $1.1 billion total
  • Information, Education, Arts, Real Estate, Manufacturing, and Professional Services – smaller but still meaningful proportions

Construction dominates the EB-5 landscape, accounting for roughly 60 percent of all EB-5 dollars during the study period, followed by accommodation and food services. The report highlights that every $500,000 of EB-5 capital generated about $1.6 million in additional private investment, reflecting a strong multiplier effect and underscoring EB-5’s catalytic role in financing development projects.

Employment Impacts

The most tangible outcome of EB-5 investment is job creation. From 2016 to 2019, EB-5-funded projects supported approximately 1.65 million total U.S. jobs, distributed as:

  • 347,300 direct jobs within EB-5-funded projects
  • 219,100 indirect jobs in related supplier industries
  • 1,087,600 induced jobs generated through spending by workers and households

This scale of employment impact rivals the total annual workforce of several U.S. states. Moreover, the report estimates that each EB-5 investor indirectly supports about 45 American jobs, far exceeding the statutory minimum requirement of ten jobs per investor.

Wage and Income Benefits

EB-5-supported employment generated approximately $122.31 billion in wages for American workers over the study period. This includes:

  • $29.42 billion from direct project employment
  • $17.04 billion from indirect jobs
  • $75.84 billion from induced economic activity

The average annual wage for EB-5-supported positions was about $74,000, nearly 48 percent higher than the average U.S. private-sector wage of approximately $50,000 during the same timeframe. This suggests that EB-5 projects, particularly in construction, infrastructure, and hospitality development, tend to support relatively high-value employment compared with typical private-sector averages.

GDP Contribution

The total contribution of EB-5 investments to U.S. Gross Domestic Product during 2016–2019 was approximately $184.22 billion, distributed as:

  • $41.34 billion from direct output of EB-5-funded enterprises
  • $28.07 billion from indirect supply-chain activity
  • $114.81 billion from induced consumption

To put these figures in context, this four-year GDP contribution roughly equals the entire annual economic output of states such as Kansas or Arkansas during that period. The report notes that this growth occurred without federal outlay, illustrating how foreign investment directly bolsters U.S. domestic production.

Tax Revenues

EB-5 investments generated a combined $14.47 billion in tax revenues between 2016 and 2019:

  • Local taxes: approximately $6.00 billion
  • State taxes: about $5.64 billion
  • Federal taxes: around $2.83 billion

These figures include taxes on wages, business income, property, and indirect sales taxes generated through induced spending. The report emphasizes that all of this revenue accrues without taxpayer cost, as the program is financed through private capital and application fees.

Geographic Distribution of Impact

EB-5 investments reached communities across the United States, though concentrated in states with strong real estate and development activity.

Top-performing states (2016–2019):

  1. California – $3.8 billion EB-5 investment; $18.1 billion total project investment; 397,700 jobs supported
  2. New York – $3.5 billion EB-5; $15.3 billion total; 336,100 jobs
  3. Texas – $1.6 billion EB-5; $5.6 billion total; 124,100 jobs
  4. Florida – $1.2 billion EB-5; $5.0 billion total; 109,100 jobs
  5. Nevada – $0.7 billion EB-5; $3.4 billion total; 74,200 jobs

The report also includes detailed tables for all 50 states, showing that EB-5 impacts extend far beyond major metropolitan areas.

The data reveal that although large urban centers capture a significant portion of EB-5 capital, benefits are felt nationwide through supply-chain and induced employment effects.

Potential of an Optimized EB-5 Program

To illustrate the program’s untapped potential, the report models two scenarios in which existing constraints are removed:

Scenario 1: 25,000 Investors per Year (Adjusted Visa Allocation)

If only investor principals (not family members) were counted toward the annual visa limit, approximately 25,000 investors could participate each year. The projected outcomes would be:

  • $50.9 billion in annual investment
  • 1.12 million jobs created each year
  • $82.8 billion in annual earnings
  • $9.8 billion in annual tax revenues

Scenario 2: 40,300 Investors per Year (Fully Unconstrained Growth)

If visa caps, processing delays, and reauthorization lapses were eliminated entirely:

  • $139.0 billion in annual investment
  • 3.06 million jobs created per year
  • $226.0 billion in annual earnings
  • $26.7 billion in annual tax revenues

These projections underscore how policy reforms could vastly expand the program’s contribution to the U.S. economy.

Stakeholder Perspectives

Interviews with regional center operators, attorneys, and industry experts identify recurring challenges:

  • Visa Backlogs: With only 10,000 visas available annually—including derivatives—there are effectively only about 4,000 investor slots per year. This bottleneck discourages participation.
  • Processing Delays: Average I-526 petition processing times exceeded four years, creating uncertainty and eroding investor confidence.
  • Program Lapses: Temporary and short-term reauthorizations have caused investment interruptions, sometimes resulting in the loss of tens of millions of dollars in potential projects.

Stakeholders uniformly argue that stabilizing the program through long-term or permanent authorization and more efficient adjudication processes would yield significant national economic benefits.

Broader Economic and Policy Implications

The report positions EB-5 as a rare economic-development mechanism that simultaneously attracts foreign direct investment, creates high-quality U.S. jobs, and generates substantial tax revenues—all without budgetary expenditure.

For policymakers, the findings strengthen the argument for permanent reauthorization of the Regional Center program and reform of visa allocations to exclude derivatives. The data demonstrate that every dollar of EB-5 capital generates multiple dollars of total economic output and government revenue.

For regional centers and project sponsors, the analysis provides valuable benchmarks for project structuring, marketing, and risk assessment. High job-creation multipliers and average wages can help attract both investors and local economic-development partners.

For economic-development agencies, the geographic data offer a basis to align EB-5 investments with state or municipal infrastructure priorities, particularly in construction, transportation, and hospitality sectors.

For foreign investors, the report reinforces that EB-5 capital not only facilitates immigration benefits but also contributes meaningfully to the U.S. economy and community development.

Limitations and Areas for Improvement

The report candidly acknowledges several limitations and opportunities for future research:

  1. Data Quality: Variations in USCIS reporting and redactions hinder precise measurement. Improved data collection and publication would enhance transparency.
  2. Long-Term Tracking: Many projects continue beyond 2019; capturing their lifetime impact would yield even larger cumulative totals.
  3. Counterfactual Analysis: Future studies could examine how many EB-5-funded projects might have proceeded without the program to estimate net-new investment more accurately.
  4. Geographic Equity: Further analysis could evaluate how EB-5 benefits flow to distressed or rural areas, particularly those designated as TEAs.
  5. Job Quality: While wage levels are high, additional research could assess job permanence and career advancement potential.
  6. Risk Assessment: Aggregated data on project defaults, fraud, or shortfalls would provide a more comprehensive picture of program performance.

Conclusion and Call to Action

The EB-5 Impact Report (2016–2019) concludes that the EB-5 program has delivered extraordinary economic benefits to the United States. Over four years, it injected $17.5 billion in foreign investment, supported 1.65 million jobs, and generated $184 billion in GDP and $14.5 billion in tax revenue—all at no cost to U.S. taxpayers.

Yet the report stresses that this success represents only a fraction of what could be achieved under a stable and efficiently managed system. The “call to action” urges stakeholders to:

  1. Ensure Program Stability – Enact long-term or permanent authorization of the Regional Center program to eliminate recurring uncertainty.
  2. Reform Visa Allocation – Remove derivative family members from the 10,000-visa cap to expand investor participation.
  3. Reduce Processing Delays – Streamline USCIS adjudication and State Department visa issuance to enhance investor confidence.
  4. Promote Transparency and Oversight – Maintain public trust through rigorous reporting, integrity measures, and clear regulatory guidance.
  5. Educate Policymakers and the Public – Communicate EB-5’s proven economic impact to ensure informed legislative decisions.

The report closes by emphasizing that EB-5 represents a model for how immigration policy and economic development can align to create mutual benefit: attracting global capital while fueling American job growth. With policy reforms, the EB-5 program could play an even larger role in strengthening U.S. competitiveness and revitalizing communities nationwide.

Summary of Key Quantitative Findings

Indicator (2016–2019)Amount / Impact
Direct EB-5 Investment$17.46 billion
Total Project Investment$75.24 billion
Jobs Supported1,654,000
Total Wages$122.31 billion
GDP Contribution$184.22 billion
Tax Revenues$14.47 billion
Average Wage per Job~$74,000
Jobs per Investor~45
Investment Multiplier1 EB-5 $ → $4.3 total project spending

Overall, the report provides compelling evidence that the EB-5 program is an effective vehicle for channeling foreign capital into productive U.S. ventures. It strengthens local economies, generates well-paid employment, and delivers measurable fiscal returns. At the same time, it highlights the fragility of the system when constrained by administrative inefficiencies and policy uncertainty.

The EB-5 Impact Report (2016–2019) stands as a robust validation of the program’s achievements and a roadmap for unlocking its full potential in the years ahead.


Your investment matters. It will have a significant impact on the U.S. economy. If you are interested in applying for a Green Card through the EB-5 Investment Program and have questions, please schedule a consultation with an experience immigration attorney to discuss in details.